Showing posts with label outlook. Show all posts
Showing posts with label outlook. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Some interesting Outlooks for 2010

January is generally busy for me as I attend a lot of Market outlook talks from different people- fund houses, analysts, and even laymen who are Pro in investing...

Here are some views to ponder on....

  1. 2nd Year of US Presidency- Historical data of the market has done well in the first year of a Democrat President. ( exception of Mr. Jimmy Carter) and keeping in line with that the first year of Obama's presidency the market has gone up by 30+%. The second year has always been flat and so based on that, some analyst expect this year to be flat.
  2. Decennial Year- Year ending with 0...2010- Again going back to early 1900, every year ending with a 0 has not done well or the market is flat... so some are expecting the same for 2010...
  3. 4 year Market cycle- When it comes to Market timing, the Pro's always argue that there is a pattern and its very easy to find. The four year market cycle. The last low was in 2006. So you can work back words and forwards to get the market lows. http://www.tradersnarrative.com/the-amazing-four-year-stock-market-cycle-867.html
  4. Financial Astrology- Staying in Singapore and not looking at what fung Shui predictions are is a must. The Metal Tiger Year- 2010 - The Year of the Metal/White Tiger, (which begins auspiciously on February 14th when Valentine's Day is also celebrated.) This is the Yang Metal Tiger Year. Yang Metal over Yang Wood. Tiger = Yang Wood. Inside the Tiger, there is Wood, Fire and Earth elements. Tiger is the mother of Fire = Wood = seed of Fire. Unfortunately, Metal destroys Wood, so this is a destructive cycle and have conflict relationship. In short this is not a Peaceful Year according to Fung Shui.
My views - In the Financial scene, inflation could be a major issue that has to be resolved. The stability of US economy will will important for the rest of the world.

So this year I expect volatility however, there is also be a lot of opportunity to enter the market especially if one didn't do it in March 2009.

Any other views.....